Wainwright attributed the late 2022 freefall to a hitch in his delivery after hed been struck on the knee by a batted ball. Required fields are marked *. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. In that piece, I highlighted 10 position players, some of whom have gained significant ground via JAWS, others who reached major milestones or simply returned to productivity after injury-plagued stretches. Reports on Wednesday, October 26th, say that Wainwright will return to the Cardinals for his 19th MLB season with the club, as he continues to chase his 200th career win. He has put together a solid career, posting a 193-114 record with a 3.34 ERA and a 1.208 WHiP over his 2538.2 innings . Eleven of the sixty-five are below Wainwright in terms of Hybrid JAWS. . That includes 2020, a season shortened by the pandemic. While Drew was a fine player throughout his career, he would only spend the 2004 season with the Braves. For now, all eyes are on Flaherty and Wainwright. Strikeouts are booming like never before. Theres a good chance no pitcher will again crack the 300-win plateau, a mark that has been achieved 24 times throughout the sports history. Maybe he has it in him to stick around for another 20 wins to get to 200, but he might not even crack the top 100 in JAWS while doing so. Since then, hes made the All-Star team every year, led the league in wins on three occasions, and won a Cy Young award in each league. Wainwright was between 38 and 40 years old in this stretch. Adam Wainwright is one of the more curious pitchers in baseball, and a recent thread raised a couple questions to me. How much more does Wainwright need to do to make the Hall of Fame in your eyes? Now, Adam Wainwright at any age, while once one of the best pitchers in the sport, never put a season quite that good. Gibson got his 2,000th strikeout when Pittsburghs Roberto Clemente was called out on July 13, 1969. He became a member of the Cardinals when the Atlanta Braves traded him for J.D. Major League and Minor League Baseball data provided by Major League Baseball. 2/4/18 Super Bowl champs. He posted a 195-117 record with a 3.38 ERA and a 1.216 WHiP, striking out 2147 batters with 695 walks in his 2567.1 innings. Those skills may eventually result in a spot in the Hall of Fame. Interestingly enough, he missed the entire 2011 season for the world champion St. Louis Cardinals, but he did play an integral role as a closer in the 2006 playoffs, throwing 9.2 scoreless innings in the playoffs. Jansens 30 saves have pushed him to 14th on the all-time list, five away from the next rung and 26 away from cracking the top 10. Ill assume that FanGraphss weirdly defensive stance against Wainwrights pursuit of bulletin board material has subsided by then. And I finally reached the point where I just ignored the spin and started to interpret the lack of candor as a possible warning sign. All rights reserved. He missed large chunks of his playing career due to injuries, and while this has not always been a deal-breaker for Cooperstown, Wainwrights perfectly fine peak was hardly that of go-to example Sandy Koufax. While he has never won a Cy Young Award, he was in the top 3 on four occasions. But is it a Hall of Fame caliber career? The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. Adam WainWright's MLB stats are Win-loss record 195-115, Earned run average 3.35 and Strikeouts 2,142. On Saturday, June 11, 25,000 fans, ages 16 and older, will take home one of their replica . When Adam Wainwright decides to hang up his cleats, the St.. If this is the end, Wainwright is leaving behind a solid career. Adam Wainwright K's McCormick. If he misses the first week or so, no big deal. Hes never pitched for a World Series champion, and his career postseason statistics wont help him hes 2-8 with a 5.54 ERA, and hes gotten completely shelled on multiple occasions. Click to share on Facebook (Opens in new window), Click to share on Twitter (Opens in new window), Click to share on Flipboard (Opens in new window), Click to share on Reddit (Opens in new window), Click to email a link to a friend (Opens in new window). After the divorce, his mother, Nancy, became a real estate agent and raised the boys on her own. As noted above, for the past few election cycles, Ive turned away from reliever JAWS in favor of a hybrid metric using WAR, WPA, and WPA/LI. He founded the Futility Infielder website (2001), was a columnist for Baseball Prospectus (2005-2012) and a contributing writer for Sports Illustrated (2012-2018). PITTSBURGH, PA - AUGUST 28: Adam Wainwright #50 of, the St. Louis Cardinals applauds after a defensive play by Nolan Arenado #28 in the first inning during the game against the Pittsburgh Pirates at PNC Park on August 28, 2021 in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Upon losing in the Wild Card round, the franchise's attention shifted to the offseason and what will happen to some of their aging players. Leg and glute stiffness that limited his leg drive, the aftereffect of recent back spasms, and a torn finger blister. All betting content is intended for an audience ages 21+. Only Price (2018) and Bumgarner (2019) have pitched enough to qualify for an ERA title once since the 2017 season. Adam Wainwright was glad to see Jason Isringhausen enter the Cardinals Hall of Fame: "He had a profound impact on my career and helped me dramatically." Bernie invites you to listen to his opinionated and analytical sports-talk show on 590 The Fan, KFNS-AM. A Hall of Fame-bound pitcher is slated to take the mound in the top of the first inning of tonights NL wild card game. All major league baseball data including pitch type, velocity, batted ball location, 230-143, 3.70 ERA, 2,788 strikeouts, 117 adjusted ERA. Here's how WBC offenses stack up with MLB's best, Scherzer tries to test pitch clock limits, gets balk, Jays 'playing it safe' after Guerrero tweaks knee, PitchCom-tipping: Loud device leaks Twins calls, Eflin's first start after $40M deal impresses Rays, Rangers' Leclerc to miss WBC with neck injury, Rockies' Rodgers may need surgery, '23 at risk, Rojas to withdraw from WBC, stay with Dodgers. He went 119-66 with a 2.96 ERA from 2007-15, a span in which only Kershaw had a lower ERA among pitchers with at least 1,000 innings pitched. "Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires." - Connor Looker Throughout his career, Wainwright has won a World Series and has been selected to. That being said, the question I had is what a retirement for Adam Wainwright . His monitor score is only an 87. How many times have we heard a version of this spin when a St. Louis pitcher has some discomfort or just needs a little time to build himself up in spring training? Injuries have plagued Adam Wainwright more than the other pitchers on this list; hes going to be 36 in a few months and hes logged just 1,800 innings due to Tommy John surgery (2011) and an Achilles tendon rupture (2015). Wainwright is absolutely not going to make it to Cooperstown, and the numbers say he shouldn't, but you can squint and you can cherry-pick statistics to make an argument for Wainwright if you enter with an agenda. He entered Thursday 16-7 on. After doing some [strength] assessments, its something he can solve. Sale went two years and a day between major league outings due to elbow inflammation, a flexor tendon strain, and Tommy John surgery, but hes made a solid return so far, with a 2.53 ERA and 27.9% strikeout rate through four starts. The 2022 campaign was supposed to be the last for Adam Wainwright as well, although he has left the door slightly open for a return next year. But is 40-year-old Adam Wainwright starting for the visiting Cardinals against the Dodgers in the winner-take-all tilt also on his way to joining Scherzer in the Hall of Fame? The three Cy Young Awards should be enough to get him into the Hall of Fame. Molina should make the Baseball Hall of Fame while Wainwright will probably fall short, but even so, we need to enjoy the final season with the longtime battery mates on the . Adam Wainwright is going to have such an interesting Hall of Fame case once he retires. Its my belief that this as-yet-unnamed metric which Im hoping to formalize in time for the upcoming election cycle does a better job of emphasizing closers rather than starters-turned-relievers who racked up significant WAR in the rotations before making the move to roles more fireman-like than closer-like; it bumps the likes of Tom Gordon, Ellis Kinder, Bobby Shantz, and Kerry Wood down several pegs. Next, select your favourite teams and leagues and well show you their latest news and scores in the My Favourites section of the home page. Will the games most enigmatic Hall of Fame candidate, a pending free agent this winter, stick around to get it? Were not concerned. The Cardinals looked like one of the best teams in the National League throughout the 2022 regular season, finishing with a record of 93-69, winning the NL Central Division in the process. A couple of guys are sore but its OK, everything is fine, nothing to worry about, dont know why the media is making a fuss over this, were just being careful, just holding the pitcher back by a day to be on the safe side, hes looking great, hes getting his work in, theres no need to push it. Hes racked up four seasons worth 67 WAR, plus a fifth at 5.7 and a sixth at 4.9; to improve that peak score substantially, he needs big seasons. Max Scherzer, already on the Cooperstown fast track before he was traded by the Nationals to the Dodgers at the trade deadline, continued his march towards inner-circle status by authoring a dominant post-acquisition stretch for his new team (7-0 with a 1.98 in 11 starts for the Dodgers, who won each of his outings) on par with Doyle Alexander in 1987, Randy Johnson in 1998 and CC Sabathia in 2008. The Cardinals trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, but St. Louis rallied to win its 12th straight, 8-5. No harm. He struck out 14 in his MLB debut and it seemed evident that he and Bryce Harper were going to lead the team to not only a World Series championship, but multiple titles. All of the starters have a JAWS of at least 42.0; roughly speaking, thats the equivalent of seven six-win seasons, a point at which I start to take mid-career pitchers seriously. They cited various ailments that impacted Wainos performance. Because he didnt debut until about five weeks before his 26th birthday, hes short in the two traditional stat categories, wins (77) and strikeouts (1,505), that tend to matter to voters, but as Ive argued, particularly if he can nab a third Cy Young, his will be something of a Koufaxian candidacy, where his career totals will matter less than the peak dominance. Wainwright did not factor into the decision, allowing five runs on four hits in four innings. Waino certainly isn't a National Hall of Famer, but there is an argument for the Cardinals Hall of Fame for sure. It airs Monday through Thursday from 3-6 p.m. and Friday from 4-6 p.m. You can listen by streaming online or by downloading the show podcast at 590thefan.com or the 590 app. Jacob deGrom and Max Scherzer just had seasons that good in 2018. Im far less convinced he deserves that, but using FanGraphs framing-inclusive WAR for catchers (supplemented by Baseball Prospectus pre-2008 framing data), its clear that he deserves a boost beyond off-the-shelf JAWS. Injuries have me dubious that Chris Sale will ever accumulate the WAR necessary to reach the Cooperstown threshold, but hes only barely going to be 33 come Opening Day, so Im not closing the book just yet. Sales unconventional windup seems to leave open the idea of Tommy John surgery or at least a serious injury, but he has averaged 30 starts per season since entering the rotation in 12. document.getElementById( "ak_js_1" ).setAttribute( "value", ( new Date() ).getTime() ); Enter your email address to follow this blog and receive notifications of new posts by email. Well have to wait and see. He had one brother, Trey, who was seven years his senior. Follow Cody Swartz on Twitter (@cbswartz5). While best known for his voice as the lead sports columnist at the Post-Dispatch for 26 years, Bernie has also written for The Athletic, Dallas Morning News and Baltimore News American. The Cardinals are calm. For this exercise, Im focused mainly on mid- or late-career players rather than early-career ones. Given the way hes been pitching as of late, thats certainly not farfetched. 9 mo. This isnt your fathers Hall of Fame. Although Gooden was one-and-done when he reached the ballot in 2006, his extraordinary peak meant he probably deserved more of a look. Guerrero is on the Dominican Republic roster for this months World Baseball Classic. 122-66, 3.24 ERA, 1,621 strikeouts, 123 adjusted ERA. {* backButton *} Twenty-eight are enshrined in Cooperstown everyone except Wainwright and his fellow active hurlers Scherzer, Justin Verlander and Clayton Kershaw, the latter trio of whom are expected to glide in Cooperstown, as well as Roger Clemens, Tommy John, Luis Tiant, Jerry Koosman, Rick Reuschel, Kevin Brown and Vida Blue. May need surgery, but were not close to making any kind of decision on that. Im skeptical only because of the history of how the Cardinals do this when a pitcher doesnt pitch, or takes a delay before his next assignment. His career just does not stack up to that level. This year he was so good that he accrued 5.1 WAR (including 0.6 on the offensive side) in his 15 starts before going down, his fourth-highest total. 4th stage: The latest MRI showed something that was a little off, and we think its smart to do more tests and let him go get a second opinion. . One other thing to note: since my reference point for old WAR and JAWS figures dates back to January 2021, some portion of these players gains may be due to updates to bWAR itself, particularly via changes to 19 and 20 park factors and tweaks to 201720 Defensive Runs Saved that were announced in March, but also due to a second update to 2020 park factors that just went live on Tuesday. Its not like hes been injury-prone; Price has led the league in games started three times and innings pitched twice. Sorry we could not verify that email address. Has Adam Wainwright done enough to deserve a place in the Hall of Fame? Carlos Correa, Shortstop(32.7 Career WAR | 32.7 7-Year Peak WAR | 32.7 JAWS, +6.7 JAWS) Between some favorable changes to his DRS totals and an AL-leading 5.9 WAR (surpassed by Ohtani's two-way total of 7.7), the 26-year-old Correa has boosted his JAWS more than any position player. Pujols, Wainwright and Molina were each given an introduction and trotted out to the diamond to be greeted by 16 Cardinals Hall of Famers. Or follow @seeingredpod on Twitter for a direct link. For more information, please read our Legal Disclaimer. And hes no slouch in the regular season Bumgarner is a four-time All-Star with a sub-3.00 career ERA, a high career strikeout rate, and hes even connected for 16 home runs at the plate. He was merely a good pitcher on the Detroit Tigers, vastly overshadowed by teammate Justin Verlander. While Pujols and Molina are guaranteed to enter the Hall of Fame, Wainwright's case is a tricky one to say the least. How Corbin Burnes became an ace by making his bed, Top moments from Brady, Manning, Jordan and other athletes hosting 'Saturday Night Live', Fantasy baseball rankings, projections, strategy and cheat sheets, Spring batting averages, runs up amid shift limits. Chris Sale keeps getting better with age, and with the way hes ben mowing down hitters in a 2017 free agent year, hes going to earn a lucrative $200 million deal in the offseason. Sabermetrics lover. Ad Choices Me talking about it is going to inflame some people Hes not a Hall of Famer! Wainwright said. It is possible that he ends up as one of those players who hangs around the ballot for his decade of eligibility, getting a boost because of his time in St. Loius, but the only way he ends up in Cooperstown will be with a ticket. Still, Hernandez has quite a resume over the last decade hes been named to six All-Star teams, won 156 games for a perennially-losing franchise that hasnt sniffed the postseason, and hes won a Cy Young award to go with multiple ERA titles. And if the Sox do pick up his option, he is by no means a lock to pass Eckersley in saves next year if Hendriks gets most of the chances. 2nd stage: Everything is still on track. 1st stage: All good. What's the Dodgers' plan at shortstop? If hes still got the stuff and durability to get to 3,000, the rest of the numbers might fall into place. The 40-year-old right-hander became the ninth active pitcher with 2,000. Assuming he pitches in 2022, a year in which I am assuming Major League Baseball will indeed be played, which he has already announced will be his last, Wainwrights first round of Hall of Fame votes would not even be revealed until 2028. Wainwrights candidacy as an elite pitcher of his time should strengthen during the five years between his retirement and his first appearance on a Hall of Fame ballot. However, not all stories have happy endings. Its an impressive resume, and one that has him as a top-10 starting pitcher of the last decade, but its just not enough for Cooperstown. He trailed 5-0 on a pair of home runs by Tyrone Taylor, a grand slam in the first inning and a solo shot in the fourth. The 35-year-old has a career record of 169-89 with a 3.19 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 2,682 strikeouts. Keep your fingers crossed, St. Louis fans.. Your favorite teams, topics, and players all on your favorite mobile devices. Wainos going to do that whether hes here or not, and thats a trust thing that Im not concerned with.. But theres no alarm. Opinions expressed by Forbes Contributors are their own. His cutter was next, dropping from his 2022 average of 84.3 mph to 80.8 mph, and his curveball decreased from 72.9 mph to 70.2 mph.. This is a veteran, and he knows what he needs to do. Hes actually been tougher to hit than in any season since 2016, but his 14% walk rate has created more traffic than ever, and hes blown five of 35 save chances, though three of those were in consecutive outings in mid-July, accounting for seven of the 16 earned runs hes allowed. Annual promotional dates for the Purina Pooches in the Ballpark game and Edward Jones Cardinals Hall of Fame Weekend are scheduled for April 30 and August 26-28, respectively. We use cookies to improve your experience. 82-53, 2.99 ERA, 1,380 strikeouts, 138 adjusted ERA. Flahertys exhibition-season debut was supposed to happen Saturday, but now the assignment has been switched to Sunday. The pandemic-shortened 2020 campaign, in which Wainwright went 5-3 with a 3.15 ERA in 10 starts, amounted to a fourth lost season for the right-hander, who missed all of 2011 recovering from Tommy John surgery and made just seven appearances (four starts) due to a torn Achilles in 2015 before he was limited to eight starts by right elbow inflammation in 2018. Sabathia has a chance to become the 17th pitcher in history to record 3,000 strikeouts, which would give his candidacy a boost. Ive lost track. His contract with Washington will keep him in a uniform through 2021, and by then, he should have a strong case. Adam Wainwright will return for his 19th season with the. His 133 OPS+ is a step down from his 201218 prime (146), but his .493 SLG is his best since leaving Arizona. We didn't recognize that password reset code. In the spirit of giving my readers what they want, heres a lightning round, where Ill keep things uncharacteristically brief. Zack Greinke has had an interesting career. Please logout and login again. MILWAUKEE Adam Wainwright joins Hall of Famer Bob Gibson as the only St. Louis Cardinals' pitchers with 2,000 strikeouts, fanning Milwaukee's Luis Urias in the fourth inning. When the Washington Nationals took Stephen Strasburg first overall in the 2009 draft, he was one of the most hyped prospects in the games history. Is Adam Wainwright in the Hall of Fame? Terms of Service. The only active pitchers behind Wainwright (2,375 2/3) in the 2,000-inning club are 36-year-old David Price (2,103 1/3), 35-year-old Johnny Cueto (2,034 1/3) and 32-year-old Madison Bumgarner (2,034). Privacy Policy At age 33, hes signed for another four years after this campaign, so he should have sufficient time to make a run at 3,000 strikeouts and another Cy Young award. 2023 Minute Media - All Rights Reserved. Gibson, who died last October, finished with 3,117. 3rd stage: Well, his arm hasnt rebounded the way we were hoping for, so were just going to shut him down and see how he responds. JAWS and peak (WAR7) gains are the major drivers of this, but positional standards, traditional milestones, and ordinal rankings are considerations as well. Bernie has hosted radio shows in St. Louis, Dallas, Baltimore and Washington D.C. Bernie, his wife Kirsten and their cats reside in the Skinker-DeBaliviere neighborhood of St. Louis. deGrom has already racked up significant value even while qualifying for the ERA title only five times in eight seasons. When Wainwright has pitched, hes been traditionally one of the better pitchers in the league, having won 20 games twice, 19 games on two other occasions, and led the league twice. He had a 4.99 ERA in his last 11 starts in 2022 including a 7.22 ERA in his final six starts. . David Price is older than he seems; hes already 32 in a few months with just 122 career wins. As his 136 OPS+ and 26 homers attest, he can still rake even at age 40, but with 443 career dingers, hes two seasons away from reaching 500 (42% odds, via ZiPS). Hes made two starts this spring, covering five total innings. Still, hes won 230 games, led the league in wins twice, and won a Cy Young award and a World Series ring. 5th stage: 60-day IL. He is known for being a Baseball Player. Hes endured shoulder miseries and a strained oblique. On Wednesday, I took a swing at a question often asked of me: Which players have helped their Hall of Fame cases the most this year? He has similar numbers (albeit slightly worse) than Roy Halladay. By either that mark or traditional reliever JAWS, the 33-year-old Kimbrel is the biggest gainer this year. Dont hold your breath. Adam Wainwright is the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher since Bob Gibson, and arguably the greatest St. Louis Cardinals pitcher in history other than Bob Gibson. . Hes produced 5.0 WAR with his pitching but -0.6 WAR with his hitting with a remarkable .000/.000/.000 line taking this no-hitter thing a bit too literally through 50 PA; on Wednesday night, he surpassed Wei-Yin Chens record for season-opening futility, set in 2016. Queried about his Cooperstown credentials during the Cardinals visit to Citi Field last month, Wainwright grinned while seemingly acknowledging his counting numbers he has 184 wins and 2,004 strikeouts are not going to measure up to most of the starting pitchers enshrined in Cooperstown. Flaherty pitched 348 innings over the 2018 and 2019 seasons. One Wainwright is a lot closer to establishing than perhaps even he realizes. I like that its a round number, but I assure you that this is merely a coincidence.
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